| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #13Humble Summer Creek (4-3) 2373 |
11% (-20) | W 24-14 | 2680 | +15.4 | −31.9 | +0.96 | — |
| 2 | 49% (0) | L 7-28 | 1862 | −2.7 | −17.2 | — | −0.14 | |
| 4 | Brazoswood (3-3) 1292 |
98% (+35) | W 61-0 | 2742 | +25.8 | −23.9 | +0.09 | — |
| 5 | @Pasadena Dobie (2-4) 1248 |
97% (+33) | W 67-2 | 2827 | +35.3 | −17.8 | +0.11 | — |
| 6 | Pearland Dawson (3-4) 1551 |
95% (+29) | W 45-7 | 2332 | +14.2 | −19.0 | +0.17 | — |
| 7 | @Pasadena Memorial (3-4) 1123 |
> 98% (+43) | W 52-0 | 2351 | +11.9 | −22.2 | +0.05 | — |
| 8 | #28Manvel (5-1) 2101 |
61% (+4) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Alvin (0-6) 678 |
> 98% (+61) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | #12Pearland (7-0) 2385 |
32% (-7) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Pasadena Sam Rayburn (1-6) 637 |
> 98% (+63) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#23
was #23
Record
5-1
4-0 district
Elo
2203
#23 of 249
OVR Grade
87.2
#23 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
86.7
#29 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
93.7
#7 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2466
#12 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 19-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Alvin Shadow Creek’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2022
11-1
Rating 711 (95th)
#2 · 2020
6-4
Rating 710 (95th)
#3 · 2024
9-2
Rating 649 (87th)
#4 · 2025
8-4
Rating 642 (86th)
#5 · 2023
9-2
Rating 639 (86th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.