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CLASS 6A · District 20-6A

Alief Taylor Lions

Enrollment: 2,783 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 5
Rank
#132
was #141
Record
6-1
4-1 district
Elo
1457
#132 of 249
OVR Grade
76
#132 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
77.9
#92 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
74.9
#119 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1600
#105 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Houston Westbury
 83% (+15) W 39-0 1839 −1.7 −15.3 +0.02 —
2
Pasadena Dobie (2-4) 1248
 34% (-6) W 47-30 1627 +15.3 +10.2 +0.18 —
3
@Houston Heights (2-4) 1367
 51% (+0) W 38-24 1756 +11.5 +1.3 +0.16 —
4
Alief Elsik (1-5) 920
 92% (+23) W 49-0 2004 +12.5 −7.7 +0.03 —
5
@Houston Bellaire (1-6) 735
 97% (+33) W 48-8 1614 +1.6 −2.9 +0.01 —
6
Alief Hastings (3-4) 1088
 93% (+25) L 23-27 1026 −10.1 +8.8 — −0.98
7
@Houston Stratford (2-4) 1345
 57% (+3) W 29-28 1333 −0.4 +6.3 +0.12 —
8
Houston Memorial (6-0) 1946
 11% (-20) — — — — — —
9
@Houston Westside (0-7) 464
 > 98% (+40) — — — — — —
11
Houston Lamar (4-2) 1731
 24% (-11) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 20-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 51
Mustangs
83.3
1946
 6-0 4-0 44.5 9.7 7.5-0.5 > 98% D2
2 76
Texans
80.1
1731
 4-2 4-0 31.8 18.4 6.9-1.1 > 98% D1
3 132
Lions
76
1457
 6-1 4-1 39.0 16.7 5.3-2.7 > 98% D1
4 156
Spartans
74.3
1345
 2-4 2-2 21.7 28.2 4.4-3.6 46.4% D2
5 148
Bulldogs
74.6
1367
 2-4 2-2 24.3 23.2 4.3-3.7 45.8% —
6 195
Bears
70.4
1088
 3-4 2-3 22.4 27.7 3.7-4.3 8.3% —
7 214
Rams
67.8
920
 1-5 1-3 10.7 30.7 2.2-5.8 < 2% —
8 231
Cardinals
65.1
735
 1-6 1-4 12.8 44.8 1.6-6.4 < 2% —
9 243
Wolves
61
464
 0-7 0-5 7.1 47.4 0-8 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Alief Taylor’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2016
9-2
Rating 658 (89th)
#2 · 2012
8-4
Rating 617 (82nd)
#3 · 2010
10-2
Rating 606 (79th)
#4 · 2015
8-3
Rating 606 (79th)
#5 · 2013
8-4
Rating 602 (78th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 4-6 1148 21.6 27.1 −5.5 1318 −11.1 +1.1 −12.2 1194 −4.36 +0.29 −4.65 451(28th)
2024 1-9 1012 21.1 32.5 −11.4 1392 −9.1 +7.9 −17.0 1074 −7.07 +0.02 −7.09 423(20th)
2023 4-6 1197 22.3 24.5 −2.2 1305 −7.2 +2.2 −9.3 1266 −3.85 +0.07 −3.92 469(33rd)
2022 5-6 1424 19.5 24.1 −4.6 1471 −8.3 −3.0 −5.3 1368 −3.09 +0.33 −3.41 496(42nd)
2021 6-5 1577 29.6 26.8 +2.8 1573 +4.4 −0.4 +4.9 1621 −1.23 +0.46 −1.69 539(59th)
2020 2-4 1507 18.7 26.0 −7.3 1765 −1.9 −4.9 +3.0 1575 −1.09 +0.21 −1.30 —
2019 3-7 1427 15.7 26.3 −10.6 1705 −6.5 −2.3 −4.2 1395 −2.39 +0.50 −2.90 497(43rd)
2018 3-7 1559 15.5 29.2 −13.7 1699 −8.2 −1.1 −7.2 1321 −2.52 +0.43 −2.95 500(44th)
2017 3-5 1622 26.6 27.8 −1.1 1536 +2.8 +1.8 +1.0 1524 −2.56 +0.66 −3.23 533(56th)
2016 9-2 2045 39.1 16.0 +23.1 1563 +14.8 −10.4 +25.2 2130 +2.27 +3.08 −0.80 658(89th)
2015 8-3 1689 30.6 10.4 +20.3 1387 +1.4 −13.8 +15.2 1879 −0.82 +0.98 −1.80 606(79th)
2014 6-5 1550 25.3 25.5 −0.2 1425 −3.2 −0.5 −2.7 1433 −2.72 +0.78 −3.50 514(49th)
2013 8-4 1852 25.5 17.9 +7.6 1618 +1.3 −10.1 +11.4 1785 +0.04 +1.61 −1.57 602(78th)
2012 8-4 1804 23.2 15.2 +8.0 1659 +1.1 −13.8 +14.9 1872 +0.48 +1.88 −1.40 617(82nd)
2011 7-5 1379 19.7 18.0 +1.7 1469 −6.9 −6.3 −0.5 1486 −2.21 +0.82 −3.04 522(53rd)
2010 10-2 1817 39.6 23.0 +16.6 1505 +11.7 −4.6 +16.3 1908 +0.72 +1.44 −0.71 606(79th)
2009 9-4 1645 31.2 20.4 +10.8 1340 +2.7 −2.7 +5.3 1633 −1.42 +1.14 −2.55 564(67th)
2008 6-4 1418 25.8 23.1 +2.7 1341 −1.1 +2.6 −3.7 1407 −1.71 +0.32 −2.03 503(45th)
2007 3-7 1086 18.4 23.3 −4.9 1521 −5.8 −0.5 −5.4 1366 −4.51 +0.28 −4.79 469(33rd)
2006 6-5 1469 16.4 19.9 −3.5 1506 −6.3 −3.9 −2.4 1439 −1.96 +0.54 −2.50 514(49th)
2005 3-6 1260 11.2 28.4 −17.2 1603 −10.3 +2.6 −12.9 1177 −3.18 +0.37 −3.55 462(31st)
2004 6-5 1517 23.1 21.5 +1.6 1594 +3.5 −2.4 +5.9 1646 −2.07 +1.60 −3.67 549(62nd)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.