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CLASS 6A · District 20-6A

Alief Hastings Bears

Enrollment: 3,567 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 2

Rank

#195

was #196

Record

3-4

2-3 district

Elo

1088

#195 of 249

OVR Grade

70.4

#195 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

68.2

#192 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

69.6

#176 of 249 in 6A

Perf

1100

#187 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	@Cy Park (1-5) 782	71% (+8)	W 23-21	748	−18.1	+12.0	+0.01	—
2	@Lamar Consolidated	22% (-12)	L 14-38	549	−21.0	+17.0	—	−0.91
3	Houston Stratford (2-4) 1345	16% (-16)	L 6-33	633	−23.4	+11.3	—	−0.89
4	@Houston Memorial (6-0) 1946	< 2% (-40)	L 17-34	1433	−3.1	−0.4	—	−0.42
5	Houston Westside (0-7) 464	85% (+17)	W 56-0	1642	+3.4	−2.3	+0.00	—
6	@Alief Taylor (6-1) 1457	7% (-25)	W 27-23	1702	+1.2	−6.9	+0.25	—
7	Houston Lamar (4-2) 1731	7% (-25)	L 14-45	995	−6.3	+13.9	—	−0.63
8	@Houston Heights (2-4) 1367	24% (-11)	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	Alief Elsik (1-5) 920	67% (+7)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	@Houston Bellaire (1-6) 735	81% (+14)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 20-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		51	Houston Memorial (6) Mustangs	83.3 1946	6-0	4-0	44.5	9.7	7.5-0.5	> 98%	D2
2		76	Houston Lamar (4) Texans	80.1 1731	4-2	4-0	31.8	18.4	6.9-1.1	> 98%	D1
3		132	Alief Taylor (5) Lions	76 1457	6-1	4-1	39.0	16.7	5.3-2.7	> 98%	D1
4		156	Houston Stratford (9) Spartans	74.3 1345	2-4	2-2	21.7	28.2	4.4-3.6	46.4%	D2
5		148	Houston Heights (8) Bulldogs	74.6 1367	2-4	2-2	24.3	23.2	4.3-3.7	45.8%	—
6		195	Alief Hastings (2) Bears	70.4 1088	3-4	2-3	22.4	27.7	3.7-4.3	8.3%	—
7		214	Alief Elsik (1) Rams	67.8 920	1-5	1-3	10.7	30.7	2.2-5.8	< 2%	—
8		231	Houston Bellaire (3) Cardinals	65.1 735	1-6	1-4	12.8	44.8	1.6-6.4	< 2%	—
9		243	Houston Westside (7) Wolves	61 464	0-7	0-5	7.1	47.4	0-8	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Alief Hastings’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2018

7-5

Rating 599 (77th)

#2 · 2017

6-3

Rating 558 (65th)

#3 · 2007

6-4

Rating 535 (57th)

#4 · 2005

5-5

Rating 513 (49th)

#5 · 2009

5-5

Rating 509 (48th)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	1-9	851	11.1	28.0	−16.9	1290	−21.7	+5.0	−26.7	834	−7.37	+0.04	−7.41	376(11th)
2024	3-7	1086	17.9	28.7	−10.8	1357	−13.2	+3.9	−17.2	1071	−5.17	+0.18	−5.36	430(22nd)
2023	2-8	990	17.7	34.7	−17.0	1410	−10.4	+9.1	−19.5	1012	−5.54	+0.03	−5.57	416(19th)
2022	1-9	881	11.6	45.8	−34.2	1533	−15.5	+16.5	−32.0	700	−5.77	+0.01	−5.79	357(8th)
2021	1-9	1036	4.6	35.0	−30.4	1602	−21.0	+5.9	−26.9	829	−5.80	+0.02	−5.81	384(12th)
2020	2-4	1333	17.3	31.7	−14.3	1542	−6.6	+5.7	−12.3	1192	−1.90	+0.05	−1.95	—
2019	4-6	1429	16.8	27.4	−10.6	1575	−8.4	+0.7	−9.1	1272	−3.16	+0.53	−3.69	480(37th)
2018	7-5	1881	32.8	26.4	+6.4	1596	+6.2	−4.6	+10.8	1769	−0.54	+1.77	−2.31	599(77th)
2017	6-3	1739	28.4	23.8	+4.7	1533	+2.1	−3.7	+5.7	1643	+0.14	+1.38	−1.23	558(65th)
2016	2-8	1192	21.4	35.0	−13.6	1582	−4.6	+5.9	−10.6	1236	−4.43	+0.29	−4.72	455(29th)
2015	1-9	804	7.7	36.1	−28.4	1442	−19.3	+11.8	−31.1	723	−6.73	+0.01	−6.75	351(7th)
2014	3-6	1086	12.7	26.6	−13.9	1375	−16.7	+2.5	−19.2	1021	−4.62	+0.09	−4.72	417(19th)
2013	4-7	1166	10.2	30.8	−20.6	1415	−17.6	+6.4	−24.0	900	−4.77	+0.35	−5.12	409(17th)
2012	1-9	876	9.3	27.3	−18.0	1491	−17.2	+1.2	−18.4	1041	−7.26	+0.07	−7.33	403(15th)
2011	1-9	861	6.6	29.1	−22.5	1420	−19.6	+6.9	−26.6	836	−7.25	+0.05	−7.30	376(11th)
2010	6-5	1421	22.4	25.0	−2.6	1410	−6.7	−0.3	−6.3	1342	−2.90	+0.47	−3.36	494(42nd)
2009	5-5	1539	27.9	28.1	−0.2	1405	+0.4	+5.2	−4.8	1380	−2.85	+1.17	−4.03	509(48th)
2008	3-5	1338	20.6	22.4	−1.8	1325	−5.0	+4.1	−9.1	1273	−3.60	+0.33	−3.93	478(36th)
2007	6-4	1465	23.1	19.3	+3.8	1506	−1.2	−5.2	+4.0	1600	−1.80	+0.80	−2.60	535(57th)
2006	4-6	1383	22.3	24.0	−1.7	1497	−1.7	+0.9	−2.6	1434	−3.37	+0.38	−3.75	506(46th)
2005	5-5	1460	22.5	29.0	−6.5	1560	+0.2	+2.9	−2.7	1431	−1.88	+0.58	−2.46	513(49th)
2004	2-8	1294	11.7	23.3	−11.6	1628	−7.8	−2.0	−5.9	1353	−4.84	+0.28	−5.12	489(40th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.