| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Cy Ridge (3-3) 644 |
49% (0) | W 48-14 | 1385 | −2.0 | +2.6 | +0.01 | — |
| 2 | Channelview (0-7) 780 |
40% (-4) | W 37-28 | 761 | −15.6 | +13.9 | +0.02 | — |
| 3 | New Caney Porter |
29% (-9) | W 28-27 | 1157 | −7.4 | +6.4 | +0.05 | — |
| 5 | Aldine Davis (5-1) 1655 |
8% (-24) | L 20-49 | 856 | −5.6 | +20.1 | — | −0.75 |
| 6 | @Aldine Eisenhower (3-3) 1292 |
20% (-13) | L 16-37 | 652 | −13.1 | +20.8 | — | −0.91 |
| 7 | @Aldine (0-6) 143 |
96% (+31) | W 34-0 | 929 | −23.0 | −0.2 | +0.00 | — |
| 8 | Spring (2-4) 1061 |
38% (-5) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Spring Dekaney (3-3) 1327 |
17% (-15) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | Aldine Nimitz (3-3) 1518 |
8% (-23) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | < 2% (-41) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#210
was #211
Record
4-2
1-2 district
Elo
943
#210 of 249
OVR Grade
68.2
#210 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
67.2
#205 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
66
#202 of 249 in 6A
Perf
957
#205 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 14-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance


Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Aldine MacArthur’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2005
8-3
Rating 564 (66th)
#2 · 2006
5-6
Rating 518 (51st)
#3 · 2007
4-6
Rating 515 (50th)
#4 · 2012
4-6
Rating 450 (28th)
#5 · 2013
5-5
Rating 442 (25th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.






