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CLASS 6A · District 14-6A

Aldine Davis Falcons

Enrollment: 3,538 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 2
Rank
#142
was #142
Record
0-0
0-0 district
Elo
1416
#142 of 249
OVR Grade
75.3
#142 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
DEF Grade
Perf

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf WQ LQ
1
@#41Waller (0-0) 1938
10% (-21)
2
@Cy Lakes (0-0) 1481
43% (-3)
3
Fort Bend Bush (0-0) 1433
48% (-1)
5
@Aldine MacArthur (0-0) 724
95% (+28)
6
Aldine (0-0) 253
> 98% (+47)
7
Spring Dekaney (0-0) 1361
56% (+2)
8
#45Spring Westfield (0-0) 1914
11% (-20)
9
@Aldine Eisenhower (0-0) 1248
67% (+7)
10
Spring (0-0) 955
87% (+18)
11
@Aldine Nimitz (0-0) 1474
44% (-2)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 14-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 45
Mustangs
82.9
1914
0-0 0-0 6.6-0.4 > 98% D2
2 126
Cougars
76.2
1474
0-0 0-0 4.9-2.1 89.7% D1
3 142
Falcons
75.3
1416
0-0 0-0 4.6-2.4 84% D1
4 154
Wildcats
74.5
1361
0-0 0-0 4.3-2.7 75% D2
5 175
Eagles
72.8
1248
0-0 0-0 3.7-3.3 44.8%
6 211
Lions
68.4
955
0-0 0-0 2.3-4.7 6%
7 236
Generals
64.9
724
0-0 0-0 1.4-5.6 < 2%
8 249
Mustangs
57.8
253
0-0 0-0 0.2-6.8 < 2%
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Aldine Davis’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2025
7-4
Rating 549 (62nd)
#2 · 2015
6-5
Rating 530 (55th)
#3 · 2024
6-5
Rating 518 (51st)
#4 · 2017
3-6
Rating 513 (49th)
#5 · 2014
6-5
Rating 504 (46th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 7-4 1532 31.1 18.5 +12.6 1421 +2.1 −4.5 +6.6 1665 −1.27 +1.04 −2.31 549(62nd)
2024 6-5 1439 23.9 21.5 +2.4 1439 −3.9 −3.8 −0.1 1497 −2.31 +0.60 −2.91 518(51st)
2023 5-5 1130 34.1 30.7 +3.4 1200 +0.9 +9.4 −8.5 1288 −3.18 +0.10 −3.29 466(32nd)
2022 4-6 1015 19.8 28.8 −9.0 1292 −13.0 +5.1 −18.1 1048 −4.33 +0.08 −4.41 416(18th)
2021 3-7 1108 19.2 28.2 −9.0 1481 −10.0 +1.1 −11.0 1224 −4.38 +0.11 −4.49 444(26th)
2020 2-5 1111 15.4 28.0 −12.6 1405 −13.1 +3.3 −16.4 1090 −3.05 +0.05 −3.10
2019 3-7 1085 27.6 31.2 −3.6 1301 −3.1 +7.7 −10.8 1231 −5.17 +0.08 −5.25 444(26th)
2018 6-5 1368 24.8 24.3 +0.5 1344 −6.3 0.0 −6.3 1342 −2.62 +0.27 −2.89 485(38th)
2017 3-6 1405 23.9 21.4 +2.4 1481 −1.3 −2.4 +1.1 1528 −3.17 +0.24 −3.41 513(49th)
2016 5-6 1440 26.0 28.4 −2.4 1444 −1.3 +3.6 −4.8 1379 −3.00 +0.47 −3.47 497(43rd)
2015 6-5 1338 29.2 14.7 +14.5 1283 −1.8 −6.7 +4.9 1623 −3.04 +0.33 −3.37 530(55th)
2014 6-5 1370 27.4 20.5 +6.9 1328 −3.8 −2.9 −0.9 1478 −3.35 +0.46 −3.81 504(46th)
2013 0-1 810 0.0 42.0 −42.0 1144 −30.3 +24.1 −54.4 140 −0.95 0.00 −0.95
2012 0-1 827 6.0 33.0 −27.0 1148 −26.5 +13.3 −39.8 506 −0.97 0.00 −0.97
2011 0-1 872 14.0 40.0 −26.0 1028 −19.2 +26.5 −45.7 358 −0.98 0.00 −0.98
2010 0-1 1016 7.0 56.0 −49.0 952 −30.9 +39.1 −69.9 -248 −0.99 0.00 −0.99
2008 1-0 1326 40.0 8.0 +32.0 580 −8.1 +0.4 −8.4 1289 +0.00 +0.00 0.00
2007 1-0 1308 61.0 0.0 +61.0 416 +6.2 −1.3 +7.4 1686 +0.00 +0.00 0.00
2006 1-0 1290 67.0 0.0 +67.0 457 +12.0 −1.4 +13.4 1836 +0.00 +0.00 0.00
2005 1-1 1267 22.5 12.0 +10.5 806 −18.6 +2.1 −20.7 982 −0.94 +0.01 −0.95
2004 2-0 1352 33.0 11.0 +22.0 920 −1.6 0.0 −1.6 1461 +0.13 +0.13 0.00
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.